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A confidence interval is a better estimate of the population than a point estimate, as it uses a range of values from a sample instead of a single value.

Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.

Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can interpret that there is a 95% chance that the true value of the population parameter will fall in the calculated confidence interval. However, this may be incorrect, as the confidence interval is constructed from only one sample. Also, the population parameter is a fixed value and may or may not lie in the calculated confidence interval.

When a confidence coefficient of 95% is used, it means that from the multiple confidence intervals obtained after using identical sampling methods, 95% of them will contain the actual value of the population parameter. Further, in terms of statistical significance, it means that the many confidence intervals are not statistically different from each other and from the point estimate at a 0.05 significance level.

Tags

Confidence IntervalPopulation EstimatePoint EstimateConfidence CoefficientStatistical SignificanceSample ValuesTrue ValuePopulation ParameterSampling MethodsSignificance Level

来自章节 7:

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7.5 : Interpretation of Confidence Intervals

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7.1 : 什么是估计值?

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7.2 : 样本比例和总体比例

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7.3 : 置信区间

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7.4 : 置信系数

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7.6 : 临界值

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7.7 : 误差幅度

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7.8 : 样本量计算

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7.9 : 使用已知标准差估计总体均值

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7.10 : 估计具有未知标准差的总体均值

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7.11 : 用于估计总体均值的置信区间

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